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WEEKLY SNAPSHOT
Note: Last Price mentioned above are as observed on 7th Aug, 11:59 PM IST.
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CRYPTO NEWS
- Bitcoin climbed above $116K and Ether stayed over $3.9K on Aug 8, 2025, as U.S. spot BTC and ETH ETFs saw strong inflows ($281M and $222M, respectively). Market sentiment improved further on President Trump’s pro-crypto executive orders — including enabling digital assets in 401(k) plans — and the formal closure of the SEC’s case against Ripple, which fueled an 11% XRP rally. Analysts see BTC eyeing $120K and ETH targeting $4K if positive flows and policy momentum continue. (Source: The Block)
- Despite large open interest in $200K year-end Bitcoin call options, market pricing implies less than a 3% chance BTC will hit that level by December. Many traders use far-out-of-the-money calls in structured strategies like call diagonal spreads and inverse call butterflies, which profit if BTC trades near $146K–$160K, not necessarily $200K. Meanwhile, nearly $900M in put options target $50K–$80K. Prediction market Polymarket gives BTC a 13% chance of hitting $200K in 2025. (Source: Cointelegraph)
- China has ordered brokers, think tanks, and financial institutions to stop promoting stablecoins, citing fraud risks and fears of a “herd rush” into risky assets. This comes despite $75B in OTC crypto trading in the first nine months of 2024. While Beijing tightens control, Hong Kong has introduced one of the world’s first fiat-backed stablecoin laws, aiming to be a digital asset hub, though strict KYC rules may slow adoption. Globally, regulators weigh stablecoins’ benefits against monetary risks, but China remains firmly cautious. (Source: CoinPedia)
- President Trump’s new executive order directs regulators to pave the way for 401(k) plans to include private assets like crypto, private equity, and real estate. Supporters cite diversification and higher return potential, but advisers warn of liquidity risks, complexity, and suitability concerns. Experts recommend limiting exposure to 5–10% and ensuring investors fully understand the assets. BlackRock’s Larry Fink sees a future 50/30/20 portfolio split between stocks, bonds, and private assets, though 401(k) adoption may be slow. (Source: Yahoo Finance)
- Bitcoin trades near $116,585, up 7.4% from its last difficulty bottom, signaling miner health remains neutral-to-positive and avoiding forced selling pressure, per CryptoQuant. Analyst Axel Adler says this steady backdrop isn’t a strong bullish driver but reduces downside risk. BTC has reclaimed key moving averages and is testing $116.6K resistance; a breakout could target $118K–$122K, while $115.7K is crucial support. Market remains range-bound until a decisive move above $118K. (Source: NewsBTC and CryptoQuant)
- Stephen Miran, Trump’s CEA Chair and Fed critic, is nominated to fill a Fed Board seat until Jan 2026 after Adriana Kugler’s resignation. His term would span four policy meetings, including September’s, as the Fed considers rate cuts. Senate confirmation is required. (Source: Reuters)
OPTIONS OI ANALYTICS FOR UPCOMING WEEK
OI Analytics for the upcoming week: BTCUSD
Significant Put writing is evident at 106,000 strikes on the lower side while significant Call writing is evident at 130,000 on the higher side. PCR of 0.88 points to a neutral market sentiment for the coming week.Elevated open interest at the extremes suggests heightened potential for volatility throughout the week.
OI Analytics for the upcoming week: ETHUSD
Significant Put writing is evident at 3600 strike while , significant Call writing is evident at 4300 strike on the higher side. PCR of 0.82 points to neutral market sentiments for the upcoming week.
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USA WEEK AHEAD (IST) [HIGH IMPACT DATA]
- Tuesday - 6:00 PM - Core Inflation, CPI
- Thursday - 6:00 PM - Initial Jobless Claims
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